Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003065 0.003209 0.003356 0.003516 0.003688 0.003865 0.004064
2025-02-23 0.002790 0.003003 0.003228 0.003486 0.003772 0.004081 0.004442
2025-03-02 0.002656 0.002914 0.003194 0.003522 0.003899 0.004319 0.004827
2025-03-09 0.002526 0.002812 0.003129 0.003509 0.003956 0.004468 0.005104
2025-03-16 0.002412 0.002718 0.003064 0.003486 0.003992 0.004584 0.005339
2025-03-23 0.002299 0.002618 0.002983 0.003435 0.003988 0.004648 0.005507
2025-03-30 0.002203 0.002532 0.002913 0.003393 0.003988 0.004711 0.005672
2025-04-06 0.002141 0.002482 0.002882 0.003394 0.004038 0.004835 0.005916
2025-04-13 0.002029 0.002368 0.002770 0.003288 0.003948 0.004776 0.005917
2025-04-20 0.001981 0.002329 0.002747 0.003292 0.003996 0.004893 0.006152
2025-04-27 0.001958 0.002320 0.002759 0.003339 0.004099 0.005084 0.006494
2025-05-04 0.001900 0.002265 0.002711 0.003307 0.004097 0.005134 0.006642
2025-05-11 0.001852 0.002222 0.002678 0.003293 0.004118 0.005218 0.006843
2025-05-18 0.001801 0.002173 0.002635 0.003265 0.004121 0.005275 0.007008
2025-05-25 0.001779 0.002161 0.002640 0.003299 0.004206 0.005448 0.007349
2025-06-01 0.001740 0.002124 0.002611 0.003287 0.004228 0.005532 0.007561
2025-06-08 0.001699 0.002085 0.002576 0.003265 0.004234 0.005593 0.007739
2025-06-15 0.001650 0.002034 0.002526 0.003219 0.004203 0.005599 0.007832
2025-06-22 0.001607 0.001988 0.002481 0.003180 0.004181 0.005615 0.007940
2025-06-29 0.001581 0.001966 0.002465 0.003181 0.004216 0.005716 0.008186
2025-07-06 0.001519 0.001893 0.002382 0.003084 0.004104 0.005594 0.008067
2025-07-13 0.001497 0.001874 0.002370 0.003088 0.004141 0.005696 0.008317
2025-07-20 0.001491 0.001876 0.002385 0.003131 0.004236 0.005891 0.008731